Amazon logo

Chronos-Bolt (Base)

Model directory
amazon/chronos-bolt-base

205M params | Upstream checkpoint

Chronos-Bolt Base is the larger, high-accuracy checkpoint in Amazon's Chronos-Bolt family, at 205M parameters. The official model card positions it as more accurate than the original Chronos-Large while remaining dramatically faster, making it the quality tier of the Bolt line and well suited to longer-horizon forecasting.

That combination comes from the shared Bolt design: a patch-based T5 encoder-decoder that produces direct multi-step quantile forecasts over patchified history instead of autoregressive token-by-token rollout. Predicting the whole horizon at once is what keeps it fast despite the larger parameter count. It is pretrained on nearly 100B time-series observations drawn from large public corpora and synthetic pretraining data, as documented by the official Chronos-Bolt model cards.

Where to run this model

Compute availability, hardware requirements, and pricing depend on the execution provider.

Hugging Face · Weights & deployment

Get model weights, deployment instructions, and current provider listings.

  • Amazon SageMaker JumpStart

    managed deployment · Source checked 2026-10-06

    AWS lists Chronos-Bolt Base through an AutoGluon forecasting wrapper. Its service contract differs from the TSFM browser graph.

  • sktime TServe

    self-hosted runtime · Family / provider variant · Source checked 2026-10-06

    Run a model-serving container on your own hardware or compute account. Select the catalog checkpoint and matching runtime image.

Hugging Face provider mappings checked 2026-10-06. No Inference Provider mapping was listed for this checkpoint.

Model Classification

Family

Chronos-Bolt

Type

time series foundation model

Pretrained time-series model for zero-shot or few-shot forecasting workloads.

Training Data

Nearly 100B time-series observations from large public corpora and synthetic pretraining data, as documented by the official Chronos-Bolt model cards.

Recommended For

  • • Fast zero-shot probabilistic forecasting in production APIs
  • • Teams replacing classic Chronos-T5 with lower latency inference

Strengths

  • • Direct multi-step forecasting avoids autoregressive rollout cost
  • • Strong default for quantile forecasts with lightweight serving

Limitations

  • • Focused on forecasting rather than broader multi-task time-series work
  • • Less natural fit when you need model behavior tuned around rich multivariate covariates

Capabilities

forecastingquantile-forecastingzero-shotlong-horizon

Tags

amazonchronosprobabilisticquality-tier

Specifications

Parameters
205M
Architecture
patch-based T5 encoder-decoder with direct multi-step quantile forecasting
Context length
n/a
Max context
n/a
Minimum history
n/a
Recommended history
n/a
Input step
n/a
Required target series
1
Temperature
Ignored
Top P
Ignored
Max output
n/a
License
n/a

Related models