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PatchTST-FM R1

Model directory
ibm-research/granite-timeseries-patchtst-fm-r1

~325M params | Apache-2.0 | Upstream checkpoint

PatchTST-FM R1 is IBM's foundation-model extension of PatchTST, trained for broad zero-shot forecasting rather than a single dataset. Where the original upstream PatchTST checkpoint is a narrow ETTh1 baseline, PatchTST-FM R1 turns the patch-based architecture into a general-purpose forecaster, and IBM positions it as a top-5 replicable zero-shot model on the GIFT-Eval leaderboard as of March 2026.

At roughly 325M parameters it pairs an 8192-token context window with a 99-quantile probabilistic output head, and it can perform imputation and forecasting simultaneously, so series with missing values are handled in a single pass rather than requiring a separate fill step. It is pretrained on a broad multi-domain corpus aimed at zero-shot generalization; IBM positions the model on the GIFT-Eval leaderboard without disclosing the full training mixture.

Where to run this model

Compute availability, hardware requirements, and pricing depend on the execution provider.

Hugging Face · Weights & deployment

Get model weights, deployment instructions, and current provider listings.

  • Retrocast · The Forecasting Company

    managed service · Family / provider variant · Source checked 2026-10-06

    Forecast through the managed API using patchtst-fm. The provider controls the deployed variant and request limits.

  • Confluent Cloud · Early Access

    managed service · Family / provider variant · Source checked 2026-10-06

    IBM lists PatchTST-FM-r1 in the Confluent integration. Early access is for evaluation, not production.

Hugging Face provider mappings checked 2026-10-06. No Inference Provider mapping was listed for this checkpoint.

Model Classification

Family

PatchTST-FM / Granite TimeSeries

Type

time series foundation model

Pretrained time-series model for zero-shot or few-shot forecasting workloads.

Training Data

Broad multi-domain pretraining corpus for zero-shot generalization; IBM positions the model on the GIFT-Eval leaderboard without disclosing the full mixture.

Recommended For

  • • Zero-shot probabilistic forecasting across diverse domains
  • • Long-context forecasting with simultaneous imputation of missing values

Strengths

  • • 8192-token context enables very long lookback windows
  • • 99-quantile output provides rich uncertainty estimates without sampling

Limitations

  • • Large model footprint requires GPU inference
  • • Newer foundation-model release with less production track record than the original PatchTST baseline

Capabilities

forecastingquantile-forecastingimputationzero-shotlong-context

Tags

ibmpatchtstfoundation-modelprobabilisticlong-context

Specifications

Parameters
~325M
Architecture
PatchTST transformer with 8192-token context and 99-quantile output head
Context length
n/a
Max context
n/a
Minimum history
n/a
Recommended history
n/a
Input step
n/a
Required target series
1
Temperature
Ignored
Top P
Ignored
Max output
n/a
License
Apache-2.0